• 26 Jun
    Don’t Follow The Herd: Why The Majority Of Investors Always Get It Wrong

    Don’t Follow The Herd: Why The Majority Of Investors Always Get It Wrong

    • Consider this, the question always remains the same: “What will my return on investment be?” But the answer changes all the time.
    • Thinking costs energy and humans prefer to let others do the thinking for them. Are you like that?
    • It’s important to know when to use history as a teacher.

    Introduction

    “Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect.” 

    – Mark Twain

    When Albert Einstein was teaching at Oxford University, he gave his senior physics students exactly the same exam he had given them the year before. His assistant was disturbed by such a mistake, but before intervening he asked Einstein whether he actually made a mistake. Einstein replied that the exam was exactly the same. The assistant was even more concerned and asked why he would do such a thing. Einstein replied, “Well, the questions are still the same, but the answers have changed.” More →

  • 25 Jun
    Sunday Edition: This Could Be Your Next 10-Bagger

    Sunday Edition: This Could Be Your Next 10-Bagger

    If you’re like me, you’ve looked at more than a few charts and wished you had invested when a stock was coming off a bottom and was on its way up rather than looking for clues that tell you if there’s another buying opportunity on the horizon so that you can get in on the uptrend too.

    Lucky for us, there are ways to spot a bottom. And once you do spot one, it only takes the courage of your convictions to buy in even with sentiment at its worst.

    This week, I believe I have spotted a bottom in Teekay Corporation (NYSE: TK). More →

  • 23 Jun
    Does It Make Sense To Buy FAANG Stocks Now?

    Does It Make Sense To Buy FAANG Stocks Now?

    • With the exception of AAPL, all FAANG stocks have beaten the S&P 500 in the last 5 years.
    • By using Graham’s growth stock formula, I’ve determined the real value of FAANG stocks in order to see whether they are still a good investment.
    • Surprise, surprise, only one stock is overvalued, while some are still bargains.

    Introduction

    FAANG stocks—Facebook (NASDAQ: FB), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), and Alphabet, i.e. Google (Nasdaq: GOOG, GOOGL)—have been the clear drivers of the current bull market. And all but AAPL have significantly outperformed the S&P 500 index.

    The S&P 500 index is up 78% in the last 5 years, AAPL 73%, GOOG 228%, AMZN 334%, FB 389%, and NFLX a whopping 1,454%. More →

  • 22 Jun
    Why I’m Getting More And More Excited About Copper

    Why I’m Getting More And More Excited About Copper

    • Forecasts on electric vehicle market penetration are getting more bullish.
    • At the same time, copper is already in a supply deficit.
    • Every copper miner is different, so be careful out there.

    Introduction

    I’m a value investor looking for low risk investments that will lead to high returns. Therefore, when I hear Elon Musk talk, I don’t get excited as an investor because the risk is too high for any potential return as there is a probability that TSLA goes bankrupt when a recession comes along or that it doesn’t turn a profit in the next decade as margins will probably get competed away. More →

  • 21 Jun
    Diversification vs. Concentration

    Diversification vs. Concentration

    • Index funds and diversification have worked extremely well in the past 35 years, however their success can be thanked to geography, as we hear only about the success in the U.S., and to declining interest rates.
    • If the S&P 500 had the same earnings yield as when the Vanguard fund gained traction, it would be at 557 points, yes 77% below current levels.
    • It’s better to wait in cash than buy a diversified index fund now.

    Introduction

    Some investment gurus advocate spreading your portfolio across various asset classes in order to limit your risks for the same return. On the other hand, others say diversification is for idiots and for those who don’t know what they’re doing. I’ll analyze their arguments and see what the best option is for you. More →

  • 20 Jun
    How To Identify Value Traps

    How To Identify Value Traps

    • Value stocks are tempting, but the vast majority turn out to be value traps.
    • There are a few things to look at that lower the probability of getting caught in a value trap.

    Introduction

    Everybody has been talking for the last few days about Amazon’s (NASDAQ: AMZN) buyout of Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFM), and the negative repercussions that purchase had on competitors like Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Target (NYSE: TGT), Costco (NASDAQ: COST), and Kroger (NYSE: KR). More →

  • 19 Jun
    Stocks VS Real Estate: Bubbles Or Investments?

    Stocks VS Real Estate: Bubbles Or Investments?

    • It could be argued that both stocks and real estate are in a bubble. However, the game is the same, finding a quality stock or piece of real estate at a low price is crucial for long term returns.
    • Low interest rates have inflated asset values and net household wealth, and a return to the average would be detrimental for the economy. It’s unlikely this would be allowed, but there will be volatility.
    • In the case of higher inflation, a 30-year fixed-mortgage real estate investment doesn’t look bad at all.

    Introduction

    I was struck when I read a while ago that the Obamas purchased a home in DC for $8.1 million.

    I wasn’t struck by the purchase price as the former president will probably make more than that from speeches in a year, but what struck me was that the same house was previously sold for $5.3 million in 2014. Thus in less than three years, the house appreciated 52%. Also worth mentioning is the fact that the house first sold for $50,000 in 1928. More →

  • 18 Jun
    Sunday Edition: Dark Skies Ahead? This Bearish Signal Spells Trouble For One Tech Stock

    Sunday Edition: Dark Skies Ahead? This Bearish Signal Spells Trouble For One Tech Stock

    Last week I wrote about a bearish pattern on China’s Google, Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU). At the end of that article, I made mention that when one market leader starts to turn bearish, others may soon follow.

    Sure enough, last Friday, the technology sector experienced a sell-off that extended its losses on Monday and sent some big names—Netflix to name one—into near-correction territory.

    It’s not clear what started the sell-off, and it remains to be seen if it was all just a short-term correction or a sign of something more ominous from the group of stocks that has been at the heart of Wall Street’s bull run in equities in the last several months.

    One stock in particular that I want to discuss today is Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). More →

  • 16 Jun
    Back From The Future – An Article From June 16, 2020

    Back From The Future – An Article From June 16, 2020

    • Central banks didn’t manage to tighten at all up to 2020 and this led to high inflation and economic stagnation.
    • Developed countries’ currencies significantly depreciated while emerging markets gained in strength due to their high productivity levels.
    • In 2020, financial markets became rational again as eventually, fundamentals have to come first.

    Introduction

    I somehow managed to go to the future to the 16th of June 2020. However, I was only there for a few seconds and only managed to check on Investiv Daily.

    I found an article that explains with perfect 20/20 hindsight what has happened in this decade and how everybody was blind to what was going on. I’ve copied the article here in order to give you a look at how the next few years will play out. More →

  • 15 Jun
    Is Zinc Still A Good Investment?

    Is Zinc Still A Good Investment?

    • Zinc is up 20% in the last 12 months.
    • Global zinc inventories and supply deficits might make zinc not just a good investment, but a great investment.
    • The problem is that it’s very difficult to find pure zinc plays.

    Introduction

    Exactly a year ago, I wrote about how between mine closures with limited mine openings and increasing demand, a supply gap in the zinc market was about to be created (article available here). Since then, zinc prices are up about 20% and were up 46% for a moment in November 2016. More →

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