• 15 Mar
    These Are The 10 Things To Watch For Before Shorting

    These Are The 10 Things To Watch For Before Shorting

    • Going short is tricky, but it might be wise to do so at some point.
    • Even if you have no intention of ever being short, looking from a different perspective might dissuade you from being long dangerous stocks.
    • In the end, as always, it all boils down to the risk and reward.



    Introduction

    Yesterday, we discussed the reasons why one should go short on a macro level. Today, we are going to dig deeper into what we should look for at a specific company level. In my next article, I’ll discuss why 98% of the population shouldn’t go short and give some examples. More →

    By Sven Carlin Investiv Daily Shorting
  • 14 Mar
    Thinking Of Shorting The Market? Read This First

    Thinking Of Shorting The Market? Read This First

    • Shorting isn’t for everyone, but if done smartly can offer positive risk reward opportunities and great hedges.
    • It looks like we’re ready for a big drop.



    Introduction

    In today’s article, I’ll discuss where we can find fragilities that would offer attractive short opportunities from a macro perspective. An article on where to find short opportunities on the micro perspective with examples will follow, and also an article that will explain how shorting isn’t for most people. More →

  • 13 Mar
    This Might Be The Biggest Risk To The Stock Market

    This Might Be The Biggest Risk To The Stock Market

    • ETFs have grown extremely fast in the last 10 years.
    • This amplifies the risks of the stock market because, since when does the majority know what’s best?
    • There is one small example of what happens when things stop growing.



    Introduction

    I’ll close my series on the risks to the stock market by discussing a risk that few see where the prevailing wisdom in one of investing through passively managed mutual funds and ETFs. This is creating a big risk, even if it doesn’t look like that now. Let me elaborate on that. More →

  • 12 Mar
    Watch Out, Your Value Is Being Stolen

    Watch Out, Your Value Is Being Stolen

    • Book value might be the biggest not risk, but loss of value in the current market environment.
    • A full year of S&P 500 earnings evaporates every 3.5 years.
    • Fortunately, there is something you can do.



    Introduction

    Today, I’ll continue with my series on market risks. These are the main market risks I see and you can read more about them by clicking on the links provided:

    • Debt is being used recklessly.
    • Valuations don’t matter as growth is the key and profitability will come.
    • Book values are so old fashioned.
    • Stocks can only go up and corrections and bear markets don’t last long.
    • If you invest in index funds, you will do well.

    In this article, I’ll focus on book values which are often an omitted metric, especially late into a bull market, but are extremely important. More →

  • 09 Mar
    Want To Get The Best U.S. Companies At 50% Off? You Might Get That Chance Soon

    Want To Get The Best U.S. Companies At 50% Off? You Might Get That Chance Soon

    • A look at the DJIA from a valuation perspective will give us a good indication of future returns.
    • I’ll also give a cyclical perspective on stocks by looking at their CAPE ratios.
    • As well as explain how valuations usually contract and expand alongside earnings.



    Introduction

    Two days ago, I discussed how valuations may be the biggest risk to stocks at this moment. Building on that, I want to go through the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and discuss the valuations there.

    The DJIA, unlike the S&P 500, is an arithmetic average weighted index and it is far less industrial than it was when it was formed in 1885. Nevertheless, it still gives a good impression of how the American economy is doing.

    What I want to build on are valuations.

    More →

  • 08 Mar
    The Disruptions Coming To Food Will Blow Your Mind – & Potentially Your Portfolio

    The Disruptions Coming To Food Will Blow Your Mind – & Potentially Your Portfolio

    • There’s a lot more pain coming for the food retail—and related—industry.
    • Amazon’s story is still at the beginning.
    • Farmland might also be hit by the Dutch disruption.



    Introduction

    I had to go to the grocery store yesterday, which meant I had to lose 20 minutes of my day to something that, let’s be honest, doesn’t really enrich my life.

    As the current economy and consumer demand is focused on receiving value by saving time, while I was shopping I started to think about how this industry could be disrupted in the medium to long term. I went deeper and got to some interesting conclusions that might have severe repercussions on a lot of things in the future as well as our investment portfolios. More →

  • 07 Mar
    Risks Are Piling Up – That’s A Huge Red Flag For Stocks

    Risks Are Piling Up – That’s A Huge Red Flag For Stocks

    Last week I discussed how the risk are piling up on the debt side of the equation. However, those aren’t the only risks piling up which isn’t uncommon for humans. When we stray, we usually stray in a big way.

    So, on top of the debt, there are other huge risks and today the discussion will be about valuations:

    • Debt is being used recklessly.
    • Valuations don’t matter as growth is the key and profitability will come.
    • Book values are so old fashioned.
    • Stocks can only go up and corrections and bear markets don’t last long.
    • Real estate can only go up.
    • If you invest in index funds, you will do well.



    Now, I’ll discuss a lot of macro, and even some politics on Monday, but such factors might be insignificant or very significant depending on market valuations. High market valuations make stocks fragile, while low valuations make them more robust as once stocks are low, there is little room to go lower. However, when stocks are high, a lot of bad things can happen. The sad thing is that we have been there and we are doing the same mistakes all over again.  More →

  • 06 Mar
    Tariffs & Interest Rate Hikes – Does This Mean Doom & Gloom For Stocks?

    Tariffs & Interest Rate Hikes – Does This Mean Doom & Gloom For Stocks?

    • Last week was an eventful week for stocks. Today, we’ll discuss the long term impact of what has been going on.



    Introduction

    So last week was another down week for the S&P 500 and from what’s going on, it looks like it’s something we should get accustomed to. More →

  • 05 Mar
    Stocks Are Crazy Risky Now – We’ll Reveal The Perfect Hedge

    Stocks Are Crazy Risky Now – We’ll Reveal The Perfect Hedge

    There’s some volatility in the markets that we haven’t seen for a long time.

    The increased volatility is a sign of nervousness and the market is looking for direction.

    No one knows where things will go in the short term as that’s impossible to know. Even Warren Buffett never fails to mention how he has absolutely no idea about where markets will go in the short to medium term.

    If we look at things from a macro perspective, the economy is at its limits and we’ve seen the actual GDP finally reach the potential GDP. More →

  • 02 Mar
    I’ve Seen Hyperinflation, Debt Bubbles, & Stock Market Implosions… Here’s Where The U.S. Economy Is Headed

    I’ve Seen Hyperinflation, Debt Bubbles, & Stock Market Implosions… Here’s Where The U.S. Economy Is Headed

    • There’s a big difference between an exuberant view and a risk-reward view.
    • This also often leads to relative underperformance but long term outperformance, which is something difficult for 99% of investors to grasp.
    • This is my view on the markets now.



    Introduction

    I’ll start with a story of Croatia, the land I was born and raised in because while it might be a small country, it has seen so much history there is a lot to learn.  More →

    By Sven Carlin Debt Investiv Daily US Economy
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