Search Results for: copper

  • 31 Aug
    How Things Have Quickly Changed On The Outlook For Copper

    How Things Have Quickly Changed On The Outlook For Copper

    • Everyone was negative on copper just a year ago. Today, most are positive.
    • There are two factors that help determine whether there will be a future turnaround or not for a commodity.
    • The nice thing is that all the data is easily accessible with a bit of research and a long term view.

    Introduction

    I’ve been writing about the imminent supply gap in copper for about a year and a half now. However, when I first came out with this thesis, the copper environment was extremely negative.

    The following headlines are an example of just some of the negativity surrounding copper in the last three years. More →

  • 22 Jun
    Why I’m Getting More And More Excited About Copper

    Why I’m Getting More And More Excited About Copper

    • Forecasts on electric vehicle market penetration are getting more bullish.
    • At the same time, copper is already in a supply deficit.
    • Every copper miner is different, so be careful out there.

    Introduction

    I’m a value investor looking for low risk investments that will lead to high returns. Therefore, when I hear Elon Musk talk, I don’t get excited as an investor because the risk is too high for any potential return as there is a probability that TSLA goes bankrupt when a recession comes along or that it doesn’t turn a profit in the next decade as margins will probably get competed away. More →

  • 19 Feb
    Sunday Edition: Copper May Be The Strongest New Bull Market Over The Coming Decade

    Sunday Edition: Copper May Be The Strongest New Bull Market Over The Coming Decade

    The Escondida mine problems are only the tip of the iceberg for Copper, which appears to be in a bit of a panic since workers of BHP Billiton Ltd.’s Escondida copper mine in Chile started an indefinite strike on February 9, forcing a force majeure declaration on its shipments.

    Adding more fuel to the fire is a one-month delay to exports at Indonesia’s Grasberg mine when Freeport-McMoRan suspended copper concentrate output while in negotiations with the government over the terms of its mining permit which has expired. More →

  • 17 Feb
    Sven Is Still Bullish On Copper And You Should Be Too

    Sven Is Still Bullish On Copper And You Should Be Too

    • Copper bottomed in 2016 and the outlook remains bullish in the long term.
    • The short term could also offer positives due to strikes and political issues.
    • The long term balance for copper should be above $3.5 per pound and that price will be increasing due to lower copper ore grades and higher mining costs.

    Introduction

    The last time I wrote exclusively on copper was in April 2016. The bullish article is available here. Since then, copper prices have increased 22%, from $2.22 per pound to the current $2.73. As the dollar has also strengthened by 7% since then, we should add 7% to the current copper price to show the real appreciation in copper. Thus, copper would be at $2.92 in real terms. More →

  • 26 Apr
    Copper as an Investing Opportunity

    Copper as an Investing Opportunity

    • Copper has declined due to a strong dollar, increased production and a slowdown in China.
    • In the long term a supply deficit is expected as mining grades are constantly getting lower and demand is steadily growing.

    Introduction

    Commodities in general have been in a slump for the last 5 years; the Dow Jones Commodity Index peaked exactly 5 years ago on April 26 2011. High 2011 commodity prices induced new investments that—combined with low interest rates—made it easier to finance new projects, eventually increasing supply. With limited growth in demand the inevitable result was a contraction in prices. More →

  • 13 Feb
    10 Gold Miners To Consider

    10 Gold Miners To Consider

    • The top 10 gold miners are stable producers. The next 10 discussed today are a completely different ballgame.
    • The miners discussed today are much more leveraged to gold prices.
    • Investing in such companies might be less risky and provide higher upside if done with a proper investing strategy.



    Introduction

    This article is the second in a series of articles that cover the 50 gold miners held by the Van Eck Gold Miners ETF (GDX). For more info about the purpose of these articles, please read the first article in the series where I analyzed the top 10 global gold miners. More →

  • 05 Feb
    Europe Is Drinking Its Own Kool-Aid

    Europe Is Drinking Its Own Kool-Aid

    • Europe is full of confidence which is good, but is it really that healthy?
    • Listening to the Davos ‘global leaders’ tells you a lot about what is going on.
    • Yes, Mario Draghi is a magician. Be careful that your money doesn’t disappear.



    Introduction

    A recent Wall Street Journal video from Davos interviewed many global leaders about the European economic upturn. The level of confidence in their words amazed me because from my perspective, Europe is in deep trouble.

    Let me first tell you who said what and then we’ll look under the hood. More →

  • 01 Feb
    It’s Time To Watch Gold Mining Stocks

    It’s Time To Watch Gold Mining Stocks

    • I will discuss gold miners to give you an overview of what you can expect when investing in them.
    • As I’ll cover all the holdings of the biggest gold ETF, the Van Eck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), you will also get a good idea about the ETF. This article is part one of the top 10 holdings we’ll discuss.
    • Perhaps it’s too early, but it might actually be the best time to hedge your portfolio with gold miners.


    Introduction

    I’ve already described why it’s important to own gold miners in your portfolio. No one knows if gold will hit $5,000 or $500 in the next 5 years, but if you can invest in a way where you can’t lose much but you can also win big, it’s definitely a thing to look at. More →

  • 09 Jan
    Why This Metal Is A Good Buy Now

    Why This Metal Is A Good Buy Now

    • I’ll describe the nickel supply and demand environment, which is now getting interesting.
    • This also creates an interesting risk reward investment situation.



    Introduction

    In the last two years, you’ve seen me be extremely bullish on copper and zinc. In the last year and a half, copper prices are up more than 50% while zinc prices are up more than 100%. Was my past analysis just a lucky guess or real knowledge? If there had been a global recession, I would have been dead wrong but there was a significant probability that both metals would rise and I was able to see that because investing in commodities is relatively easy. More →

  • 01 Jan
    Here’s How To Invest In Commodities In 2018

    Here’s How To Invest In Commodities In 2018

    • Commodities should be an essential part of a portfolio going into 2018.
    • I’ll discuss the risks and rewards scenarios that will help you better assess portfolio exposure.
    • Some commodities have better risk reward ratios than others.



    Introduction

    Today, I’ll continue with my discussion on how to prepare an all-weather portfolio for 2018. No one knows what will happen this year, therefore it’s best to be prepared for anything with careful risk reward portfolio allocations.

    In this article, we’ll dig deeper into commodities as they are supposed to do well in an environment of economic growth, especially if there is inflation. More →

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