Search Results for: copper

  • 31 Aug
    How Things Have Quickly Changed On The Outlook For Copper

    How Things Have Quickly Changed On The Outlook For Copper

    • Everyone was negative on copper just a year ago. Today, most are positive.
    • There are two factors that help determine whether there will be a future turnaround or not for a commodity.
    • The nice thing is that all the data is easily accessible with a bit of research and a long term view.

    Introduction

    I’ve been writing about the imminent supply gap in copper for about a year and a half now. However, when I first came out with this thesis, the copper environment was extremely negative.

    The following headlines are an example of just some of the negativity surrounding copper in the last three years. More →

  • 22 Jun
    Why I’m Getting More And More Excited About Copper

    Why I’m Getting More And More Excited About Copper

    • Forecasts on electric vehicle market penetration are getting more bullish.
    • At the same time, copper is already in a supply deficit.
    • Every copper miner is different, so be careful out there.

    Introduction

    I’m a value investor looking for low risk investments that will lead to high returns. Therefore, when I hear Elon Musk talk, I don’t get excited as an investor because the risk is too high for any potential return as there is a probability that TSLA goes bankrupt when a recession comes along or that it doesn’t turn a profit in the next decade as margins will probably get competed away. More →

  • 19 Feb
    Sunday Edition: Copper May Be The Strongest New Bull Market Over The Coming Decade

    Sunday Edition: Copper May Be The Strongest New Bull Market Over The Coming Decade

    The Escondida mine problems are only the tip of the iceberg for Copper, which appears to be in a bit of a panic since workers of BHP Billiton Ltd.’s Escondida copper mine in Chile started an indefinite strike on February 9, forcing a force majeure declaration on its shipments.

    Adding more fuel to the fire is a one-month delay to exports at Indonesia’s Grasberg mine when Freeport-McMoRan suspended copper concentrate output while in negotiations with the government over the terms of its mining permit which has expired. More →

  • 17 Feb
    Sven Is Still Bullish On Copper And You Should Be Too

    Sven Is Still Bullish On Copper And You Should Be Too

    • Copper bottomed in 2016 and the outlook remains bullish in the long term.
    • The short term could also offer positives due to strikes and political issues.
    • The long term balance for copper should be above $3.5 per pound and that price will be increasing due to lower copper ore grades and higher mining costs.

    Introduction

    The last time I wrote exclusively on copper was in April 2016. The bullish article is available here. Since then, copper prices have increased 22%, from $2.22 per pound to the current $2.73. As the dollar has also strengthened by 7% since then, we should add 7% to the current copper price to show the real appreciation in copper. Thus, copper would be at $2.92 in real terms. More →

  • 26 Apr
    Copper as an Investing Opportunity

    Copper as an Investing Opportunity

    • Copper has declined due to a strong dollar, increased production and a slowdown in China.
    • In the long term a supply deficit is expected as mining grades are constantly getting lower and demand is steadily growing.

    Introduction

    Commodities in general have been in a slump for the last 5 years; the Dow Jones Commodity Index peaked exactly 5 years ago on April 26 2011. High 2011 commodity prices induced new investments that—combined with low interest rates—made it easier to finance new projects, eventually increasing supply. With limited growth in demand the inevitable result was a contraction in prices. More →

  • 20 Oct
    Now’s The Time To Consider These 7 Hedging Strategies

    Now’s The Time To Consider These 7 Hedging Strategies

    • A hedge is like any other investment. Whether it’s good or bad depends on the price.
    • I’ll discuss 7 unconventional strategies that will give you some food for thought.
    • The best hedge is the free hedge. By looking deep enough, it’s possible to find it.



    Introduction

    Hedging is a very important, but an often-omitted investing strategy.

    The principle of hedging is to own something that will go the opposite direction of everything else in the case of a market crash, protecting your portfolio from potential losses. For example, if you own an S&P 500 portfolio, buying a put option on the S&P 500 gives you security in the event that the market falls as you won’t lose anything as the value of the put option should appreciate at the same rate the S&P 500 declines. More →

  • 10 Oct
    7 Rules For Finding Stocks That Will Double

    7 Rules For Finding Stocks That Will Double

    • I’ll describe 6 stocks that have recently doubled that give us good guidelines on finding the next stock that will double.
    • If you do the research, it isn’t that tough to find stocks that will double or more. Perhaps the reason we don’t always find them is our psychology, predictably.
    • The analyzed stocks include a miner, a wealth management company, a social media company, an education company, a paper company, and a big pharmaceutical.



    Introduction

    I wrote an article not too long ago about where and how to find stocks that will potentially double or even become multi-baggers, and described a few sectors to look at to find these stocks.

    In today’s article, I want to dig a bit deeper and show you what should you look for in a specific stock that can indicate multi-bagger potential or at least a 50% return in a year, as Buffett used to do when he was younger. More →

  • 05 Oct
    The Electric Vehicle Trend Will Be Explosive – Here’s How To Profit On It

    The Electric Vehicle Trend Will Be Explosive – Here’s How To Profit On It



    • The latest news surrounding the electric vehicle market is extremely positive.
    • However, not every related investment will do well. We’ll discuss car manufacturers, graphite, cobalt, nickel, copper, and lithium.
    • There’s one way to profit from the growing trend that carries little risk, is already profitable, and definitely offers high upside in the next decade.

    Introduction

    We all know transportation will be electric in the future. However, this doesn’t mean that every investment in the sector is a smart investment.

    A great example of how investments in hot trends can work out is Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), and this example is the best-case scenario out there. More →

  • 28 Sep
    This Is How You Find Stocks With A Margin Of Safety

    This Is How You Find Stocks With A Margin Of Safety

    • It’s impossible to accurately determine the actual value of a stock, but there are some methods that allow you to come close.
    • What’s even better is when you can buy at a price much lower than your intrinsic value calculation.
    • Qualitative factors can also help in assessing the margin of safety.

    Introduction

    The best investments are those that carry no risk with unlimited upside.

    Given that the markets are inefficient, it’s possible to find such investments and in today’s article, I’m going to describe the best ways to figure out what the margin of safety is in an investment. More →

  • 27 Sep
    Looking For Multi-Baggers? Here’s 3 Practical Ways To Double Your Money Now

    Looking For Multi-Baggers? Here’s 3 Practical Ways To Double Your Money Now

    • A mutli-bagger is a stock that doubles or more. These stocks are great to own, but not that easy to find. We’ll discuss the necessary mindset to take advantage of such opportunities.
    • Apart from the mindset, it’s also necessary to understand the environment and look to places where multi-baggers can be found.
    • The final decision comes down to how much of your portfolio should be allocated to such investments.

    Introduction

    There are different reasons why people invest.

    Some invest to protect their capital from inflation, others to build up a retirement nest egg, while others seek extraordinary returns. More →

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