U.S. Treasuries

24 May
What’s Going On With Dividend Stocks?
Dividend investments have been loosing ground lately.

If the FED raises rates 4 times in 2018, there will be more ground lost.

However, there is a dividend strategy that will do well no matter what happens.

Introduction

One of the most loved investing strategies is dividend investing.

Dividends are something that we can see giving us a reward at least once a year and are a much more sure thing than many other possible investment returns. However, lately dividend investors haven’t been having a great time as, while dividend years have been going up, asset prices have been going down, especially for many of the most beloved dividend stocks. More →
By Sven Carlin Dividends FED Interest Rates Investing Strategy Investiv Daily U.S. Treasuries
12 Jan
Want Financial Independence? Read This
When aiming for retirement or financial independence, risk shouldn’t make up part of the equation.

We’ll discuss a few investment strategies that bring passive income at minimum risk and can lead to financial independence.

Your life can change with a few simple adjustments.

Introduction

I recently received a message from a 28-year-old reader who asked me what I thought about his chances for financial independence with what he has saved so far. He has been working for the past 8 years at more than 2 jobs on average, and has managed to save $250k, which is something to praise.

The answer to his question could be of value to most investors, from those who want to quit their jobs to have more time, or those who just can’t wait to retire, so I decided to dig deeper and write an article about it. More →
By Sven Carlin Investing Strategy Investiv Daily Real Estate REITs U.S. Treasuries
08 Sep
Why You Should Be Paying Attention To Bond Yields
It’s extremely important to watch bond yields as they define the health of the economy and financial markets.

I was correct last year when I said to short bonds, but now things are changing and shorting bonds is no longer a low risk thing to do.

I’ll discuss what to look for to protect your portfolio from what bond yields are saying.

Introduction

Last year, I was a bond bear and wrote about how investors should avoid bonds, especially as the FED was announcing a tightening policy. I was right on with my forecasts as bond yields have almost doubled since June 2016 which lowered bond values. More →
By Sven Carlin Bonds Commodities FED Gold Inflation Interest Rates Investiv Daily U.S. Treasuries US Economy
04 Jul
Why Yesterday’s Retirement Investing Advice Won’t Work In Today’s Environment
Common retirement investing advice worked ok in the past, but could have been much better.

Why would you sell stocks that you bought a long time ago, and that are still growing and paying dividend, to buy bonds that yield less than inflation?

Over the long term, little differences amount to a huge difference. Take responsibility for your retirement.

Introduction

The common advice on retirement investing is to be overweight stocks when you are far from retirement and then overweight bonds when you are closer to retirement. Some funds offer target date retirement funds that have such a portfolio allocation.

Vanguard’s target retirement funds invest up to 90% in stocks when you are more than 25 years from retirement, and then lower that exposure to about 50% when you retire. 7 years into retirement, you have 70% of your portfolio in bonds. More →
By Sven Carlin Bonds Inflation Investing Strategy Investiv Daily Retirement Stocks U.S. Treasuries
23 Mar
Do You Have A Static Or Dynamic View Of The Markets?
A static view tells us stocks are cheap. A dynamic view tells us hell is about to break loose.

Vehicle loans have increased 57% since 2010. If interest rates increase, car sales and other credit related sales will falter and lead the economy into a recession.

However, as always, there are ways to make money in any environment. Today we’ll discuss an actionable idea and introduce you to a profitable long term investing philosophy.

Introduction

This market has lost all connections to economic reality.

The FED’s rate hike lowered treasury yields instead of pushing them higher. This is at odds with history as since 1954, the correlation between the federal funds rate and the yield on 10-year treasuries has been nearly perfectly correlated with a correlation ratio of 0.91, 1 being perfectly correlated. More →
By Sven Carlin Corporate Earnings Credit Cycle Inflation Interest Rates Investing Strategy Investiv Daily Monetary Easing U.S. Treasuries
02 Feb
It’s Time To Pay Attention To The Euro
Currency movements can be easily explained through macro trends, but the timing isn’t that precise. However, long term investors can reach additional returns by following a few easy steps.

Cyclical currency patterns are natural, and under the influence of economic growth in the long term.

The dollar is approaching its peak and is ready to return to its historical mean.

Introduction

In last weekend’s Sunday Edition, Investiv Founder, Shane Rawlings, elaborated on how long term macro trends inflect exactly at the moment when there seems to be a general consensus that the trend will last for a long, long time.

Nobody was buying stocks in 1981 because they thought high inflation would stay around forever. On the other hand, in the 1990s, people were convinced that the best investment was internet stocks. And in the 2000s, the conviction shifted to the real estate market as it seemed that the only way to go was up forever.

Currently there is a strong conviction that the U.S. dollar is going to strengthen as interest rates rise and the U.S. economy grows, and while Europe continues with monetary easing. More →
By Sven Carlin Dollar Euro Investiv Daily Market Forecast U.S. Treasuries
04 Dec

Sunday Edition: A Debt Bomb Sure To Implode

The recent spike in interest rates over the last few months is a hot topic among financial news and media outlets. And it should be – it’s alarming.

The rate on the 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond shot up from 2.10% in early July to over 3% where it now sits. Many, including myself, are now calling for the end of the 35+ year bond bull market.

I believe when we look back in 20 years, the 177’11 July high in bonds will mark the beginning of a new long-term bear market in bonds. More →

By Shane Rawlings Bonds Debt FED Investiv Daily Sunday Edition U.S. Treasuries US Economy
17 Aug
Are Safe Havens Really That Safe?
Economic laws can’t be muted forever, and in the end always get their due, therefore it is good to look at other options to de-risk your portfolio.

Gold is too volatile to be considered a safe haven.

Diversification should be the best option to avoid losing everything in a market downturn.

Introduction

Economics is pretty straightforward. The first thing they teach you in ECON 101 is that the economy works in credit cycles. In a positive environment with low risks and low base interest rates, people borrow and spend. They buy a new car, go on trips, refurbish the kitchen and so on, which leads to economic expansion. More →
By Sven Carlin Commodities Defensive Stocks Gold Investiv Daily Japan Swiss Franc U.S. Treasuries