Warren Buffett

  • 21 Feb
    Buffett Put $12 Billion On Stocks, But He Didn’t Buy Into <i>This</i> Market

    Buffett Put $12 Billion On Stocks, But He Didn’t Buy Into This Market

    • Stocks grew on positive sentiment after Buffett disclosed his optimism and spent $12 billion.
    • His purchases included Apple, and an extremely cheap sector.
    • Passive investing without thinking is what allows for such heterogeneity in valuations. For investors like Buffett, it’s easy money.


    At the end of January, market bulls rejoiced when Warren Buffet disclosed in a Charlie Rose interview that he had bought $12 billion of stocks since Trump’s election. Since then, the market has jumped another 3% on positive sentiment as even the greatest low risk investors of them all is buying into this market.

    A few days ago, however, Berkshire Hathaway disclosed—in their obligatory holding statement—what Buffett actually bought. This, of course, hasn’t been as publicized as has the fact that he bought $12 billion of stocks, but as always, journalists prefer to focus more on what’s sexy than on what’s important.

    Let’s see if we can learn something from what the Oracle of Omaha has been buying in this market which is constantly breaching all-time highs. More →

  • 13 Feb
    Sometimes You Shouldn’t Be Like Buffett – Cashing Out Debunked

    Sometimes You Shouldn’t Be Like Buffett – Cashing Out Debunked

    • Don’t look at your portfolio as security for rainy days.
    • Don’t ask the market whether you should cash out, look at your goals and at the companies you own.
    • Standard investment advice has it all wrong.


    99.9% of all content related to investing is focused on returns and how much money can be made. However, what’s equally important, or even more important, is to align your investing returns with your personal life goals.

    I don’t want to be like Buffett and die the richest person in the world. I assume most of you feel the same way. Unfortunately, this creates constant internal or spouse-related battles between investing and spending, greed and fear, security and excitement, which leads to an important question, when and how should you cash out?

    Today, we’ll discuss a few concepts that can help you make investing, cashing out, and spending decisions. More →

  • 27 Jan
    What See’s Candy & WhatsApp Can Teach Us About Creating Shareholder Value

    What See’s Candy & WhatsApp Can Teach Us About Creating Shareholder Value

    • Stock option compensation rewards management if the market does well, business performance is almost irrelevant.
    • BlackRock and Vanguard are becoming more assertive in the implementation of better governance policies. However, it seems it’s only a rhetoric given that they own 9% of corporate America.
    • Two examples show how CEOs can have opposing attitudes toward shareholder value.


    Today, we’ll dig deeper into corporate governance as it’s essential for our long-term investment returns.

    We’ve already discussed how buybacks mostly negatively affect long term shareholder value. But apart from buybacks, there are other interesting, more subtle issues that can help us lower our risks and increase returns.

    We’ll analyze what Larry Fink and William McNabb have to say about corporate governance, and we’ll look at a few examples of how CEOs manage their companies in order to show examples of good and bad practices. More →

  • 16 Jan
    Gruesome Industries For Trading, Not Investing

    Gruesome Industries For Trading, Not Investing

    • Even if the industry has wonderful growth numbers, profitability might remain out of reach.
    • We’ll define and describe the industries long term investors should avoid.


    Most of you are familiar with Warren Buffet’s comment on the airline industry in his 2007 letter to shareholders:

    “The worst sort of business is one that grows rapidly, requires significant capital to engender the growth, and then earns little or no money. Think airlines. Here a durable competitive advantage has proven elusive ever since the days of the Wright Brothers. Indeed, if a farsighted capitalist had been present at Kitty Hawk, he would have done his successors a huge favor by shooting Orville down.”

    Now, most connect the above statement only to the airline industry. However, in a deflationary environment where our youngsters expect lots of things for free—think WhatsApp—and extremely low interest rates, there will be more industries where shareholder wealth creation will be difficult to achieve.

    In today’s article, we’ll define and analyze some of these industries. More →

  • 29 Dec
    Is Your Value Being Destroyed? Sven Tells You How To Spot It

    Is Your Value Being Destroyed? Sven Tells You How To Spot It

    • Buybacks and dividends continuously exceed earnings creating a financialized corporate environment and leaving less money for innovation and investments.
    • Such a situation isn’t sustainable in the long term.
    • We’ll close with an example of somebody willing to spend $21.5 billion of shareholders’ money to increase his salary by a few million.


    The end of each quarter is an excellent time to analyze what’s going on with buybacks and dividends. FactSet’s comprehensive analysis of quarterly buybacks and dividends for the S&P 500 is a great place to start.

    It’s of extreme importance to know what it is that management is doing with your money and if they are increasing or decreasing shareholder value. Today, we’ll analyze the situation and give you a few hints to enable you to easily analyze if the managers of the stocks you own add or subtract value with dividends and buybacks. More →

  • 14 Dec
    How To Make 50% On Your Investments

    How To Make 50% On Your Investments

    • To know a small cap stock in detail and its business environment, you’ll have to invest more of your time than anyone else.
    • Investing while following the 20-punch card rule is extremely difficult, even Buffett didn’t follow it.


    In a 1999 Businessweek interview, Warren Buffett said the following:

    “If I was running $1 million today, or $10 million for that matter, I’d be fully invested. Anyone who says that size does not hurt investment performance is selling. The highest rates of return I’ve ever achieved were in the 1950s. I killed the Dow. You ought to see the numbers. But I was investing peanuts then. It’s a huge structural advantage not to have a lot of money. I think I could make you 50% a year on $1 million. No, I know I could. I guarantee that.”

    Most investors invest peanuts, Buffett’s measure for $1 million, so they should all be able to make 50% a year. As in life you mostly get what you ask for, why not ask for 50% yearly returns? You might get it.

    In this article, we’ll discuss what Buffett meant when he said that, as well as a few strategies you could implement to reach 50% returns. More →

  • 25 Nov
    Want To Know What Your Returns Will Look Like In 17 Years? Buffett Has Some Insights

    Want To Know What Your Returns Will Look Like In 17 Years? Buffett Has Some Insights

    • We’ll discuss the primary reasons behind long term returns on investments.
    • With interest rates being close to zero, we have to exclude lower interest rates benefiting future returns.
    • General market conditions create a negative asymmetric risk reward situation, but there is a better option.


    With the Dow passing 19,000 and the S&P 500 passing 2,200 points, it’s time to take a look at the markets, investors’ expectations, and the real possibilities that those expectations will be met. More →

  • 10 Nov
    Why You Should Switch To Active Investing Now

    Why You Should Switch To Active Investing Now

    • PE ratios in the S&P 500 are all over the place; 7 of the top 20 stocks have PE ratios below 15, 7 from 20 to 30, and 5 above 30.
    • You can buy stable, growing businesses at PE ratios below 15, so why would you stick to passive investing and buying riskier stocks at PE ratios of above 20?
    • Maybe you think passive investing meets the definition of “boring,” something investors such as Buffett advocated. I don’t wish you the excitement of watching your portfolio fall from a PE ratio of 24 to a PE ratio of 15. Therefore, think about rebalancing now before it’s too late.


    Yesterday we discussed how the economy is doing well but that the market isn’t responding accordingly. This is because of the high valuations where only exceptional catalysts can push the market higher while any kind of negative news easily brings it into negative territory. However, by analyzing recent earnings, we have found large discrepancies among sectors in revenue and earnings growth. We understand this is normal for a well-diversified portfolio, but do we have to own more of the overvalued stocks and less of the undervalued stocks as a market capitalization weighted index fund does? More →

  • 19 Oct
    Does That Company Have A Moat? You’ll Want To Find Out Before Buying Stock In It…

    Does That Company Have A Moat? You’ll Want To Find Out Before Buying Stock In It…

    • Moats are and will always be elusive as there is no computer algorithm or rule to help us in finding them.
    • Analysis of economies of scale, competition, and margins can help, but we’ll discuss some examples where common sense is what wins out.
    • Moats exist in the technology sector and aren’t that difficult to spot.


    Warren Buffett’s most commonly referenced piece of advice is to buy a good business with a large moat at a fair price and hold it forever. This is easier said than done as in today’s complex world, moats become stronger and weaker at the same time. More →

  • 18 Oct
    Investing Advice From John Maynard Keynes

    Investing Advice From John Maynard Keynes

    • It’s good to invest for the long run, but don’t let that be an excuse for investing in overvalued stocks as in the long run, we all die.
    • Often shunned as irrelevant, inflation must be considered when investing.
    • Markets are irrational and get more irrational as people think less. ETFs are the perfect example.


    You probably remember Keynes from Economics 101 as his ideas fundamentally changed the way people looked at economics in the first part of the 20th century. Before Keynes, a laissez-faire (let people do as they choose) economy with low or no government involvement, was the norm.

    By studying the causes of business cycles, Keynes came to the conclusion that government intervention is necessary to moderate boom and bust cycles in an economy. He endorsed the New Deal in a letter to President Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1933, and the New Deal remains a perfect example of his theories. More →

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